Cherno More Varna 4-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +25%
1.77/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.02
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +56%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
2W-2D-1L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.04.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
09.11.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
09.03.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 2-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
15.09.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
23.06.2017 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 0-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
4-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna swept aside PFC Beroe 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 55% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 45%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.00 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs PFC Beroe?

Cherno More Varna 4-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 60%, draw 23%, PFC Beroe 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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4 Aug 2025
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