PFC Beroe 0-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 46%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.34/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.94
+54% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 2-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
15.09.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
23.06.2017 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 0-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna HAZ
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna squeezed past PFC Beroe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.33 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Cherno More Varna?

PFC Beroe 0-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 24%, draw 29%, Cherno More Varna 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
9 Nov 2024
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