Slavia Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.45/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.71
+31% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
23.09.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
02.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
2-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia edged past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 50% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 50%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.67 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Slavia Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 43%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5
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