Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.96/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.89
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2026 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
23.08.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
08.02.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
19.08.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
28.04.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
08.04.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna edged past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Cherno More Varna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 39%, draw 33%, Cherno More Varna 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
26 Apr 2026
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