Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botev Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Botev Plovdiv 1-2 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics
Arda Kardzhali nicked a narrow win over Botev Plovdiv 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 57% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 43%, shots finished 13-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.33 for Arda Kardzhali.
What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Botev Plovdiv 1-2 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 32%, draw 26%, Arda Kardzhali 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.