Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cherno More Varna 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Cherno More Varna beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 6-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.83 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Cherno More Varna 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 44%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.