Garliava 0-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 60%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.86/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.24
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Minija
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Garliava Garliava 4-2 HT 2-0 Minija Minija LIT1
06.04.2024 Minija Minija 0-0 HT 0-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
30.09.2023 Garliava Garliava 2-0 Minija Minija LIT1
13.05.2023 Minija Minija 1-1 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
03.09.2022 Minija Minija 0-1 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
30.04.2022 Garliava Garliava 2-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija squeezed past Garliava 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Garliava had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Garliava and 0.50 for Minija.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Minija?

Garliava 0-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Garliava 19%, draw 25%, Minija 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ BTTS Yes
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