Aubstadt 1-3 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
2.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.34
-25% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
22.07.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-3 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-1 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
17.08.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-3 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II beat Aubstadt 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aubstadt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aubstadt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aubstadt and 0.67 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Greuther Fürth II?

Aubstadt 1-3 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 42%, draw 26%, Greuther Fürth II 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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