BFC Dynamo 2-3 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.32/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.10
-18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
237 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Dynamo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 HT 2-2 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-1 HT 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
19.02.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 2-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-2 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
10.04.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-2 HT 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
15.10.2021 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 1-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Dynamo
2-3
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BFC Dynamo vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena edged past BFC Dynamo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Carl Zeiss Jena found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, BFC Dynamo had 47% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena's 53%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BFC Dynamo and 1.83 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of BFC Dynamo vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

BFC Dynamo 2-3 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Dynamo vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split BFC Dynamo 35%, draw 32%, Carl Zeiss Jena 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Dynamo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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