Lübeck 2-1 Todesfelde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Todesfelde EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
2-1
AWAY Todesfelde
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Todesfelde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck edged past Todesfelde 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lübeck had 62% of the ball to Todesfelde's 38%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Todesfelde?

Lübeck 2-1 Todesfelde in the Germany - Regional League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Todesfelde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 49%, draw 31%, Todesfelde 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lübeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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