Eintracht Trier 4-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Trier EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -5%
1.54/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.57
-4% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Trier
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Homburg
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2022 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
05.12.2014 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 0-3 HT 0-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
10.08.2014 Homburg Homburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
17.05.2014 Homburg Homburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Trier
4-1
AWAY Homburg
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eintracht Trier vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Trier swept aside Homburg 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Eintracht Trier made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Eintracht Trier had 49% of the ball to Homburg's 51%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Eintracht Trier and 1.50 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Trier vs Homburg?

Eintracht Trier 4-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Trier vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Trier 32%, draw 27%, Homburg 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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