Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
12%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.46
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
17%
5.07
X/2
8%
5.81
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.18
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 37%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.69/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.22
+4% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
13.4 Crosses 18.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.48 xG 2.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
238 Passes 336
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
26.11.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
2-2
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.65 xG 0.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
297 Passes 483
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice and Gornik Zabrze shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Puszcza Niepolomice at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 40% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.65 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Puszcza Niepolomice had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.00 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puszcza Niepolomice win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 44%, draw 28%, Gornik Zabrze 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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