Esbjerg 2-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.12
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.35
X/2
12%
6.7
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
20%
4.43
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.56/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.17
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.3 Crosses 20.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hvidovre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-0 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
29.03.2025 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-3 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
09.03.2025 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
22.09.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-2 HT 1-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
02.12.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 2-0 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
20.08.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 1-2 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
2-1
AWAY Hvidovre
2.05 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
301 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg nicked a narrow win over Hvidovre 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Esbjerg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Esbjerg had 46% of the ball to Hvidovre's 54%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.05 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esbjerg and 1.33 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Hvidovre?

Esbjerg 2-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 37%, draw 25%, Hvidovre 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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