Kochi United 1-0 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kochi United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +26%
1.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.21
+30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kochi United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fukushima United
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
94 Passes 417
50% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2025 Fukushima United Fukushima United 3-4 HT 1-2 Kochi United Kochi United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kochi United
1-0
AWAY Fukushima United
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
110 Passes 364
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kochi United vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kochi United squeezed past Fukushima United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kochi United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kochi United had 31% of the ball to Fukushima United's 69%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Kochi United vs Fukushima United?

Kochi United 1-0 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kochi United vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kochi United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kochi United 48%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kochi United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kochi United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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