Ryukyu 2-0 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.12/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.25
-13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses 22.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
358 Passes 376
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
19.10.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
14.04.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 4-3 HT 3-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
30.09.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-2 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
11.06.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
2-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 287
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu saw off Parceiro Nagano 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ryukyu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ryukyu had 53% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 47%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.60 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Ryukyu 2-0 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 42%, draw 29%, Parceiro Nagano 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ryukyu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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