Sagamihara 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
0.90/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.28
-32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 21.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 250
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-2 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
07.09.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
27.04.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-2 HT 1-2 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
11.06.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
31.07.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
168 Passes 410
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 49
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara nicked a narrow win over Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sagamihara had 32% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 68%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagamihara and 1.50 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Sagamihara 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 44%, draw 30%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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