JFK Ventspils 5-0 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.22
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.0
No
42%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
35%
4-5
34%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME JFK Ventspils The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine The Market 12%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.84 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.45
0.31 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 3.94
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Great
Great Defensevs comparable teams Bad
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
13.10.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 2-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
27.04.2024 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 2-2 HT 1-1 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
13.08.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 HT 1-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
15.04.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-2 HT 1-1 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
REVIEW JFK Ventspils vs Progress / AFA Olaine
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

JFK Ventspils cruised past Progress / AFA Olaine 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (60%) came in, both teams to score (58%) didn't.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Progress / AFA Olaine led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 1.75 for Progress / AFA Olaine.

JFK Ventspils vs Progress / AFA Olaine Result & Final Score

JFK Ventspils 5-0 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

JFK Ventspils vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 62%, draw 22%, Progress / AFA Olaine 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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