Super Nova 0-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.41/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.65
+42% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
23.0 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Grobina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
316 Passes 235
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
10.04.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 1-1 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
0-0
AWAY Grobina
0.46 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
307 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova and Grobina played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Grobina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Super Nova had 49% of the ball to Grobina's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.46 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Super Nova and 1.00 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Grobina?

Super Nova 0-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 33%, draw 24%, Grobina 44%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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