Spartak Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Spartak Moskova
RUSK
0-2
HT 0-1
Spartak Moskova
RUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Baltika Kaliningrad
RUS
Spartak Moskova 0-3 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics
Baltika Kaliningrad ran out comfortable winners over Spartak Moskova 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Spartak Moskova at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 34% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 66%, shots finished 3-24, expected goals 0.16 to 2.61.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.67 for Baltika Kaliningrad.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Spartak Moskova 0-3 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 57%, draw 24%, Baltika Kaliningrad 19%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Under 2.5 went the other way.