Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Krasnodar v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
3-2
HT 0-2
Krasnodar
RUS
1-0
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUK
Krasnodar 1-2 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow nicked a narrow win over Krasnodar 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Krasnodar had 65% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 35%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.25 to 2.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krasnodar and 0.83 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Krasnodar 1-2 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 50%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Moscow 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krasnodar) went the other way.