Estudiantes vs Independiente Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Jul 2026

Estudiantes
vs
Independiente
📅26/07/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Argentina - Premier League – 2026

Estudiantes vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Estudiantes v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Estudiantes vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Independiente
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 249
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2026 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
12.08.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
09.09.2023 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
09.04.2023 Independiente Independiente 1-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.06.2022 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
13.02.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
COMMENT Estudiantes vs Independiente
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in just 1 of Estudiantes's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes and 1.33 for Independiente.

When do Estudiantes and Independiente play?

Estudiantes play Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/07/2026, kick-off 23:15 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Estudiantes vs Independiente?

Our model's prediction for Estudiantes vs Independiente is a Estudiantes win at about 40% probability, priced 2.09 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Estudiantes 40%, draw 31%, Independiente 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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