Independiente vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals
Independiente vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Estudiantes
ARJK
1-2
HT 0-0
Estudiantes
ARJ
2-1
HT 0-0
Estudiantes
ARJ
2-1
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-1
Independiente
ARJ
Independiente 1-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente and Estudiantes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Independiente had 40% of the ball to Estudiantes's 60%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.89 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente and 1.00 for Estudiantes.
What was the final score of Independiente vs Estudiantes?
Independiente 1-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente vs Estudiantes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente 37%, draw 29%, Estudiantes 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.