San Lorenzo 2-3 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.63
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.26
Over 2.5
34%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
12%
9.07
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.29
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.14
X/2
13%
5.76
X/X
19%
2.85
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
13%
5.09
2/X
7%
16.55
Value flag · X/1 at 5.14 — our 21% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
35%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
76%
-9.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
24%
+9.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.13/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.24
-12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.0 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lanus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 294
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
29.03.2025 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.05.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
27.01.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-2 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.08.2023 Lanus Lanus 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
05.02.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
2-3
AWAY Lanus
1.55 xG 2.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
321 Passes 209
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus edged past San Lorenzo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Lanus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 59% of the ball to Lanus's 41%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.55 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.33 for Lanus.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Lanus?

San Lorenzo 2-3 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 37%, draw 32%, Lanus 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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