Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.12
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.36
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
11%
4.06
X/2
9%
9.73
X/X
14%
3.95
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
11%
8.9
2/X
5%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -36%
1.03/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.44
-62% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 68%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
25.1 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.60 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 240
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
17.03.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-2 HT 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
07.09.2015 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
30.08.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
2-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
138 Passes 205
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tucuman 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Rivadavia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 42% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 58%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.75 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?

Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 49%, draw 26%, Atletico Tucuman 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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