Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool edged past Sunderland 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool and 0.83 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Liverpool 1-0 Sunderland in the Friendlies on 26/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 49%, draw 23%, Sunderland 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.