Sunderland vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool nicked a narrow win over Sunderland 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Sunderland had 43% of the ball to Liverpool's 57%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.63 to 2.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liverpool's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sunderland and 1.50 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 24%, draw 25%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.