Manchester City vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City v Fulham — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Manchester City 3-0 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City cruised past Fulham 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Manchester City had 56% of the ball to Fulham's 44%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Manchester City and 1.33 for Fulham.
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City 3-0 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Fulham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 69%, draw 18%, Fulham 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.