Fulham 0-4 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Fulham
0-4 HT 0-1
Manchester City
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Fulham vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.18
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
53%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
7.55
2-3 Goals
35%
2.26
4-5 Goals
24%
2.42
6+ Goals
16%
4.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
13.65
1/2
8%
19.1
1/X
6%
21.45
X/1
9%
20.6
X/2
19%
3.72
X/X
10%
9.86
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.44
2/X
6%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
11%
+14.6pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
53%
Away Win
72%
-19.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 77%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.88/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.81
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +21%
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
218 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 514 · 86%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.8
15.6 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Fulham vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Manchester City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.68 xG 2.42
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
298 Passes 597
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 5-1 HT 2-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
30.04.2023 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 1-2 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
05.11.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
05.02.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 4-1 HT 2-1 Fulham Fulham FAK
13.03.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-3 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
05.12.2020 Manchester City Manchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Fulham Fulham İNP

Fulham 0-4 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
0-4
AWAY Manchester City
0.12 xG 3.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
1 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
352 Passes 707
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
6 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City swept aside Fulham 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fulham had 36% of the ball to Manchester City's 64%, shots finished 1-16, expected goals 0.12 to 3.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fulham and 3.00 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Manchester City?

Fulham 0-4 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fulham 26%, draw 21%, Manchester City 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
11 May 2024
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