Wolverhampton 1-3 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Wolverhampton
1-3 HT 0-2
Crystal Palace
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.93
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
11%
6.03
X/2
11%
5.41
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.36
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-8.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
1.26/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.82
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.5 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
25.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.10.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
05.03.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
06.11.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
30.01.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Wolverhampton 1-3 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
1-3
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.57 xG 2.70
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
451 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace got the better of Wolverhampton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Crystal Palace found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 62% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 38%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.57 to 2.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.67 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace?

Wolverhampton 1-3 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 37%, draw 29%, Crystal Palace 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
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