Everton 1-0 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.93 — our 24% vs market 15.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.4
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
8%
13.15
X/X
11%
6.59
2/1
9%
20.85
2/2
9%
9.56
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.67/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.68
-22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.6 Crosses 14.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-2 HT 2-1 Everton Everton İNP
16.05.2021 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
26.12.2020 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
20.07.2020 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
21.09.2019 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNP
24.08.2011 Everton Everton 3-1 HT 3-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
1-0
AWAY Sheffield United
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
420 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Everton vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton edged past Sheffield United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Everton as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Everton had 58% of the ball to Sheffield United's 42%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 1.00 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Everton vs Sheffield United?

Everton 1-0 Sheffield United in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Everton 51%, draw 26%, Sheffield United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Under 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
11 May 2024
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