Tottenham vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-5
HT 1-2
Tottenham
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Burnley
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tottenham
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Tottenham
İNLK
4-0
HT 3-0
Burnley
İNP
Tottenham 2-1 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham nicked a narrow win over Burnley 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tottenham had 63% of the ball to Burnley's 37%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.72 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tottenham's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tottenham and 0.50 for Burnley.
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Burnley?
Tottenham 2-1 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Burnley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 62%, draw 20%, Burnley 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.