Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNCL
Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford edged past Bournemouth 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 48% of the ball to Brentford's 52%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.67 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bournemouth and 1.33 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 42%, draw 27%, Brentford 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bournemouth) went the other way.