Manchester City vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City v Fulham — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Fulham
İNP
1-2
HT 1-2
Manchester City
İNP
2-1
HT 1-1
Fulham
İNP
4-1
HT 2-1
Fulham
FAK
0-3
HT 0-0
Manchester City
İNP
Manchester City 3-2 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City nicked a narrow win over Fulham 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Manchester City had 58% of the ball to Fulham's 42%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.57 to 2.60 — on chances, Fulham could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Manchester City and 0.67 for Fulham.
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City 3-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Fulham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 62%, draw 21%, Fulham 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.