Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

Crystal Palace
0-1 HT 0-1
Liverpool
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
8%
9.99
X/2
20%
4.08
X/X
14%
5.64
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.09
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 59%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
0.93/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.29
-24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 84%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.6
17.0 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Liverpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.72
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
225 Passes 574
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
09.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
25.02.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
15.08.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
15.07.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace HAZ
23.01.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-3 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
0-1
AWAY Liverpool
0.64 xG 1.39
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
209 Passes 549
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool nicked a narrow win over Crystal Palace 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 32% of the ball to Liverpool's 68%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.64 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.33 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 23%, draw 26%, Liverpool 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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