Brentford 5-3 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
9%
7.3
X/X
19%
5.02
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
5.08
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.33/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.39
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.8 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.71 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
369 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
16.01.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-2 HT 1-1 Brentford Brentford FAK
05.01.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton FAK
27.12.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-4 HT 1-3 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
15.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
29.10.2022 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
5-3
AWAY Wolverhampton
4.25 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
283 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
46 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford got the better of Wolverhampton 5-3. Half-time: 4-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brentford had 44% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 56%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 4.25 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brentford and 1.83 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Wolverhampton?

Brentford 5-3 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brentford 43%, draw 30%, Wolverhampton 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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