Everton 0-0 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

Everton
0-0 HT 0-0
Newcastle United
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
9%
7.48
X/2
14%
4.64
X/X
13%
5.3
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
20%
2.62
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.40/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.37
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
21.7 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Everton vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newcastle United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
258 Passes 338
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.04.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.12.2023 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
27.04.2023 Everton Everton 1-4 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
19.10.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
17.03.2022 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
08.02.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP

Everton 0-0 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
0-0
AWAY Newcastle United
0.67 xG 2.05
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 10
228 Passes 566
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 42
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Everton vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and Newcastle United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Everton had 32% of the ball to Newcastle United's 68%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.67 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 1.50 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Everton vs Newcastle United?

Everton 0-0 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Everton 31%, draw 27%, Newcastle United 42%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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