West Ham United 4-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
14%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.46
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.99
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.73
2/X
10%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.49
-13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
23.1 Crosses 23.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
12.07.2022 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
28.07.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
31.01.2012 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 5-1 HT 3-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNCL
27.09.2011 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
18.05.2005 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNCL
14.05.2005 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 2-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
4-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
3.79 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
432 Passes 361
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United cruised past Ipswich Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had West Ham United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, West Ham United had 53% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 47%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 3.79 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for West Ham United and 1.67 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Ipswich Town?

West Ham United 4-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 43%, draw 26%, Ipswich Town 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Ham United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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