Leicester City vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leicester City v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Leicester City vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Bournemouth
İNP
2-1
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNP
4-1
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNP
3-1
HT 2-1
Bournemouth
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
Leicester City 1-0 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Leicester City squeezed past Bournemouth 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Leicester City made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leicester City had 44% of the ball to Bournemouth's 56%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.79 to 2.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bournemouth.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leicester City and 1.33 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Leicester City vs Bournemouth?
Leicester City 1-0 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 35%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.