Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool and Sunderland couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liverpool had 68% of the ball to Sunderland's 32%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liverpool and 0.67 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland in the England - Premier League on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 68%, draw 19%, Sunderland 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 went the other way.