Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arsenal 2-0 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal beat Brentford 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Arsenal had 62% of the ball to Brentford's 38%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.77 to 0.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal and 0.67 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Brentford?
Arsenal 2-0 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 66%, draw 19%, Brentford 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.