Wolverhampton 0-1 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.71
Over
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.77
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
24%
4.06
6+
10%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.65
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
12%
6.33
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
9%
4.2
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.43
2/X
11%
13.15
Value flag · 2/X at 13.15 — our 11% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest The Market 43%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.20/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.97
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
19.9 Crosses 21.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
467 Passes 257
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-3 HT 0-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
31.08.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
13.04.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
09.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
01.04.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
11.01.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
0-1
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.88 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
329 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest nicked a narrow win over Wolverhampton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 50% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 50%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.88 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.50 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest?

Wolverhampton 0-1 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 34%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ BTTS Yes
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