Basingstoke Town 1-1 Bracknell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bracknell Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -35%
1.91/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.49
+23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bracknell Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
17.10.2023 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town and Bracknell Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bracknell Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Basingstoke Town and 3.50 for Bracknell Town.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town?

Basingstoke Town 1-1 Bracknell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 42%, draw 23%, Bracknell Town 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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