PSV II 0-2 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Aug 2024

PSV II
0-2 HT 0-1
Telstar
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

PSV II vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.82
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.09
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.64
X/2
11%
6.45
X/X
11%
5.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
2/2
14%
3.71
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV II v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.55/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.01
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
14.2 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

PSV II vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Telstar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
395 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Telstar Telstar 3-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
14.08.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
17.02.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.10.2022 PSV II PSV II 0-2 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
17.12.2021 Telstar Telstar 0-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
18.10.2021 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 0-2 Telstar Telstar HOL2

PSV II 0-2 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
0-2
AWAY Telstar
0.60 xG 1.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
461 Passes 225
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar beat PSV II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSV II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV II had 63% of the ball to Telstar's 37%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.60 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PSV II and 1.50 for Telstar.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Telstar?

PSV II 0-2 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSV II 44%, draw 23%, Telstar 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSV II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
26 Aug 2024
21:00 AZ Alkmaar II vs Dordrecht Analysis →