Melhus 3-4 Stromsgodset II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.31
No
46%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
72%
-17.7pp
46%
BTTS No
28%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.85/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.79/1.86
-3% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Stromsgodset II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2024 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II 4-4 HT 2-1 Melhus Melhus NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melhus
3-4
AWAY Stromsgodset II
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Stromsgodset II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II nicked a narrow win over Melhus 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stromsgodset II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Melhus had 42% of the ball to Stromsgodset II's 58%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Stromsgodset II?

Melhus 3-4 Stromsgodset II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Stromsgodset II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Melhus 36%, draw 28%, Stromsgodset II 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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