Nordstrand 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
13.65
2-3 Goals
30%
2.97
4-5 Goals
42%
2.3
6+ Goals
13%
2.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
78%
-13.2pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nordstrand EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
2.98/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.83
-12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
392 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nordstrand
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 1-0 HT 1-0 Nordstrand Nordstrand NOR4
22.10.2023 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 1-3 HT 0-2 Nordstrand Nordstrand NOR4
01.05.2023 Nordstrand Nordstrand 2-0 HT 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nordstrand
3-0
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nordstrand vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nordstrand ran out comfortable winners over Sarpsborg 08 II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nordstrand as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nordstrand had 64% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 36%, shots finished 21-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nordstrand had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nordstrand and 0.67 for Sarpsborg 08 II.

What was the final score of Nordstrand vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Nordstrand 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nordstrand vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nordstrand win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nordstrand 64%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 II 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nordstrand), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nordstrand) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
26 Aug 2024
17:30 Melhus vs Stromsgodset II Analysis →
20:00 Askollen vs Skeid II Analysis →
20:00 Gamle Oslo vs KFUM II Analysis →
20:00 Nardo vs Rosenborg II Analysis →
20:00 SK Traeff vs Hodd II Analysis →