Sarpsborg 08 II 1-0 Nordstrand — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.04
2-3 Goals
45%
2.2
4-5 Goals
20%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-3.5pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nordstrand EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.04/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.18
-39% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nordstrand
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 1-3 HT 0-2 Nordstrand Nordstrand NOR4
01.05.2023 Nordstrand Nordstrand 2-0 HT 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
1-0
AWAY Nordstrand
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Nordstrand
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II edged past Nordstrand 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Nordstrand carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 38% of the ball to Nordstrand's 62%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nordstrand led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sarpsborg 08 II and 2.50 for Nordstrand.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Nordstrand?

Sarpsborg 08 II 1-0 Nordstrand in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Nordstrand?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nordstrand win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 21%, draw 19%, Nordstrand 60%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nordstrand) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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