Wels 2-2 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 26 Aug 2025

Wels
2-2 HT 1-1
St. Pölten
📅26/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2025/2026

Wels vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
65%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.89
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.8
1/2
6%
21.95
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
7%
12.0
X/2 EV+ ✗
26%
3.97
X/X
7%
5.81
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.84
2/X
4%
15.5
Value flag · X/2 at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+2.2pp
16%
Draw
22%
-6.1pp
65%
Away Win
61%
+3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wels v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wels EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 66%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.43
-5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Wels vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wels and St. Pölten couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. St. Pölten carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Wels vs St. Pölten?

Wels 2-2 St. Pölten in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wels vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Wels 19%, draw 16%, St. Pölten 65%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pölten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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