Brisbane City 2-1 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.4pp
17%
Draw
24%
-7.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.3pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.96/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.64
+30% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 12.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
3.70 xG 1.59
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
517 Passes 221
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
26.05.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
24.02.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
04.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
25.02.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
21.08.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City edged past Brisbane Roar II 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brisbane City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brisbane City and 0.33 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar II?

Brisbane City 2-1 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 55%, draw 17%, Brisbane Roar II 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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