Haras El Hodood 1-1 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 70%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.41/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.49
-23% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
14.8 Crosses 22.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Masry
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.09
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
203 Passes 375
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.05.2025 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
19.12.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
06.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 3-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSRK
07.04.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
16.12.2022 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
14.09.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
1-1
AWAY Al Masry
1.23 xG 0.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
236 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood and Al Masry shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Masry at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 44% of the ball to Al Masry's 56%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.23 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.33 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Al Masry?

Haras El Hodood 1-1 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 17%, draw 21%, Al Masry 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Masry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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