Zamalek 1-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.69
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
68%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.9pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.48/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.32
-11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
20.0 Crosses 12.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Pharco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.73
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
414 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
11.02.2025 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
03.07.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.06.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
04.12.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
16.07.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-2 HT 2-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-0
AWAY Pharco
2.44 xG 0.05
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
516 Passes 158
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 3
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek nicked a narrow win over Pharco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zamalek had 71% of the ball to Pharco's 29%, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 2.44 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zamalek's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zamalek and 0.50 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Pharco?

Zamalek 1-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 65%, draw 22%, Pharco 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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